Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 111.168061 128.529226 149.202216 176.074030 210.763846 255.056466 3.176830e+02
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 87.490392 108.157319 135.519739 175.911175 236.992979 331.850942 5.054754e+02
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 74.135930 95.395531 125.447625 173.687178 255.355746 403.425890 7.467956e+02
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 64.860031 85.834955 116.906305 170.006191 268.319532 472.010060 1.068916e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 58.717478 79.554913 111.679100 169.698772 286.418456 562.809658 1.625329e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 54.088112 74.764521 107.758059 170.356601 306.427832 675.054975 2.636174e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 49.110581 68.765485 100.841142 163.732761 307.980381 739.741293 3.802293e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 47.029918 67.099373 100.951160 170.697598 344.710482 961.290741 9.183816e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 43.498655 62.662737 95.546482 165.105194 346.888979 1059.065815 1.708099e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 41.356090 60.328488 93.623609 166.571276 369.792694 1293.476586 7.308256e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 38.949572 57.318241 90.068262 163.651590 378.568248 1478.450599 1.072758e+06
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 38.396173 57.450170 92.466439 175.111406 440.887100 2222.092522 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 38.686698 59.355702 99.146886 200.723647 586.063531 5240.471861 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 36.557359 56.677972 96.181119 200.534101 628.218930 8046.260346 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.490571 53.915093 92.649388 197.837033 657.878302 12251.053051 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 32.530388 51.181269 88.833929 193.379756 675.994153 18510.735974 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 31.052975 49.246719 86.539670 193.007913 720.206779 38293.516537 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 29.793055 47.627228 84.749622 193.803678 775.928439 126974.711213 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.117763 45.071645 80.548114 185.804170 762.914604 234942.728348 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 27.533310 44.628578 81.184061 194.216290 890.501178 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.169665 42.527843 77.684318 187.459211 883.396716 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.356630 41.487434 76.621180 189.228589 961.931600 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 24.342032 39.971455 74.256700 185.706325 985.107393 NaN NaN